Huatai Securities: The expected recovery and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the policy blessing. Huatai Securities Research Report said that on December 9, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting, stressing that it would "implement more active and promising macro policies" and pointed out that it would "stabilize the property market and stock market". Since the end of September, continuous favorable policies have supported fundamental improvement. The central government reiterated its support for real estate at key meetings, which means that there may be more room for policy support next year, and a more relaxed environment is expected to consolidate this improvement trend. The expected repair and fundamental stabilization of the real estate market are expected to accelerate under the blessing of policies. In the follow-up, we should still pay attention to the sustainability of market volume and price recovery and the progress of macro-support policies, purchasing and storage, urban village reconstruction and other policies. Before confirming the bottom of the market, we are more optimistic about housing enterprises with more resources and stable operation in core cities; At the same time, property management companies with resilient performance and stable cash flow are also expected to benefit from the market's stabilization.Sarah Friar, CFO of OpenAI: Corporate customers will pay (at least) thousands of dollars for using artificial intelligence (AI) tools. In the end, it will be reasonable.Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.
More than 700 listed companies have announced the replacement of the audit institutions in 2024. According to incomplete statistics, since the beginning of this year, the number of listed companies planning to replace the accounting firms in 2024 has exceeded 700. Among them, the number of listed companies that intend to change accounting firms in October and November is 248 and 200 respectively. Looking back at the "exchange tide", three phenomena stand out: First, in order to improve the quality and ability of capital market intermediaries, the supervision of accounting firms by the regulatory authorities has been significantly enhanced. Based on the principle of prudence, listed companies collectively cancel the contract with the "problem institute"; Second, under the heavy penalty, more and more accountants choose to change their firms to practice, while listed companies choose to change their firms instead of accountants; Third, listed companies employ audit institutions through competitive negotiation, public bidding, invitation bidding, etc. In the bidding process, in order to attract more customers and increase the signing rate, the phenomenon of audit institutions reducing prices has increased. (Securities Daily)Everbright Securities: It is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Everbright Securities reported on December 10 that with the introduction of preferential policies for car purchases by various auto companies at the end of the year and the continuous promotion of trade-in by local governments, it is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Recommend the big white horse bibcock of each subdivision track, and pay attention to the sales of new models in 2025E to achieve high flexibility. 2025E intelligence will continue to become a competitive highland in the industry, paying attention to intelligent theme investment opportunities.CITIC Jiantou: China's commercial space layout continues to land, and SpaceX's first mobile phone direct connection constellation has been built. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that China's state-owned private enterprises have laid out one after another, and the satellite development and rocket launch modes have gradually transformed, and commercial space forces are expected to accelerate the layout process of low-orbit Internet. Recently, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation Commercial Satellite Co., Ltd. unveiled its design concept of Internet satellite for the first time, including standardization, low cost, integration, digitalization and scale. The company's production line in Tianjin has an annual production capacity of more than 100 satellites, and the satellite super factory in Wenchang, Hainan is expected to be put into operation in 2025, with an annual production capacity of 1,000 satellites. The third batch of networked satellites in Qian Fan (G60) constellation was successfully launched, and the number of satellites in orbit increased to 54. China Telecom invested 1 billion yuan to set up a new satellite company. Internationally, SpaceX has built the world's first low-orbit mobile phone direct connection constellation, and the three European aerospace giants Airbus Group, Terez Company and Leonardo Company want to jointly build a new satellite company.
Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.The reporter explored: optimizing the transaction structure, the second-hand housing has become a hot spot in the market. "After the recent new property market policy, especially the reduction of transaction tax burden such as value-added tax, the second-hand housing is particularly popular." A senior real estate agent manager in Jindaotian District, Luohu District, Shenzhen, told the reporter, "Take several shed-reformed communities here as an example. Recently, more than 20 second-hand houses can be sold in each community every month. The price is low, the house is new and the location belongs to the urban area, which is very suitable for those who just need to buy a home." According to the data of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Research Center, the unit price of second-hand houses in the range of 40,000 yuan to 60,000 yuan accounted for 32.1% in November, ranking first and the increase was the most obvious. The transaction of new houses with a "building age" of less than 10 years was the most active. The reporter found out that in the second-hand housing market in several key cities, the transactions of new second-hand houses with relatively new "building age" are more active. Take Tianhe Park, a plate with high popularity of second-hand houses in Guangzhou, as an example. According to shell data, 41 sets were sold in this plate in October, a significant increase of 127.8% from the previous month. According to Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, the adjustment of tax policy will accelerate the listing of second-hand houses and good houses, which in turn will help buyers subscribe for second-hand houses and large-sized houses, which will have a positive effect on optimizing the transaction structure of second-hand houses and boosting second-hand housing transactions. (e company)Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13